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DUBBO

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Race 4

2:25 PM
1600m · 12 runners
🏁 Result
1st LAGOON
2nd MUIRISC
3rd MAGIC MERLIN 📍 Place Pick
4th RECOGNITION
✅ Place bet landed — MAGIC MERLIN ran a place
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree — a genuine top pick. Win or place.
4
MAGIC MERLIN W $2.35·P $1.30
win or place
Market and model agree on this runner — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
4. MAGIC MERLIN FAV TOP RATED 9 $2.35 $1.30 $4.07
9. LAGOON 2 $6.50 $2.20 $7.69
11. REAL HOUSEWIVES 7 $7.50 $2.35 $8.42
7. LA CHAPARRON 3 $7.50 $2.35 $8.80
2. RECOGNITION 11 $10.00 $2.80 $11.68
6. INDIE MAE 4 $13.00 $3.40 $13.97
3. TAKETHEMONEYANDRUN 13 $15.00 $3.60 $14.47
1. CALLE 12 $13.00 $3.40 $15.64
5. COBOCCO 14 $31.00 $5.50 $24.34
10. MUIRISC 1 $51.00 $6.50 $35.89
8. LADY DEXTEROUS 8 $91.00 $10.00 $56.65
12. SELLINYA 10 $126.00 $16.00 $65.73
Favourite record at DUBBO ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.50–3.49 38% 62% 29*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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