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EAGLE FARM

R1 12:13 PM R2 12:48 PM R3 1:23 PM R4 1:58 PM R5 2:33 PM R6 3:08 PM R7 3:47 PM R8 4:27 PM R9 5:11 PM

Race 1

12:13 PM

1300m · 5 runners

📍 Our record & guide for Lauren Abbott Racing ›

🏁 Result

1st APOSTLE (NZ) 💡 Saver

2nd MARTIST ⭐ Best Bet

3rd GOLD CZECH

4th HIT A LICK

〰️ Best Bet placed — MARTIST ran a place (win bet missed)

✅ Saver won — APOSTLE (NZ) finished 1st

Dominant favourite Lean

Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.

MARTIST W $1.60

win ⭐ Best Bet

Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.

APOSTLE (NZ) P $1.50

Saver · place

Saver if the favourite is rolled.

Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.

Full field & ratings ›

Runner	Barrier	Win	Place	Our rate
1. MARTIST FAV TOP RATED	3	$1.60	$1.14	$2.25
4. APOSTLE (NZ)	6	$3.90	$1.50	$4.60
6. HIT A LICK	2	$8.00	$2.50	$7.24
2. DOUBTWILLY	5	$12.00	$3.50	$9.99
3. GOLD CZECH	4	$16.00	$4.40	$10.02

Favourite record at EAGLE FARM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.60) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav price	Win	Place	Races
1.50–1.99 this race	55%	85%	20*
2.00–2.49	42%	71%	38*
2.50–3.49	22%	62%	73
3.50–4.99	19%	54%	48*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice. *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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