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EAGLE FARM

R1 12:13 PM R2 12:48 PM R3 1:23 PM R4 1:58 PM R5 2:33 PM R6 3:08 PM R7 3:47 PM R8 4:27 PM R9 5:11 PM

Race 3

1:23 PM
1000m · 6 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Lauren Abbott Racing ›
🏁 Result
1st MOONHAVEN ⭐ Best Bet
2nd BONFIRE SPARK 💡 Saver
3rd LAYDOWNLILY
4th No. 8
✅ Best Bet won — MOONHAVEN finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — BONFIRE SPARK ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
2
MOONHAVEN W $1.95
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
11
BONFIRE SPARK P $1.65
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. MOONHAVEN FAV TOP RATED 3 $1.95 $1.28 $2.89
11. BONFIRE SPARK 4 $3.40 $1.65 $3.92
7. LAYDOWNLILY 9 $7.00 $2.90 $6.52
3. PORT ERIN 5 $10.00 $3.80 $8.60
4. FIND YOUR OWN 8 $21.00 $6.25 $13.43
10. OUTWEIGHED 2 $34.00 $9.00 $18.46
Favourite record at EAGLE FARM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.95) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 55% 85% 20*
2.00–2.49 41% 72% 39*
2.50–3.49 22% 62% 74
3.50–4.99 19% 54% 48*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.