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RANDWICK

R1 11:30 AM R2 12:05 PM R3 12:40 PM R4 1:15 PM R5 1:50 PM R6 2:25 PM R7 3:00 PM R8 3:35 PM R9 4:15 PM R10 4:55 PM

Race 4

1:15 PM
1200m · 8 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Australian Turf Club ›
🏁 Result
1st PARADOXIUM 📍 Place Pick
2nd STRETAN RULER
3rd WOLF GAP 💡 Saver
4th INCOGNITO
✅ Place bet — won outright — PARADOXIUM finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — WOLF GAP ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
4
PARADOXIUM P $1.26
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
8
WOLF GAP W $6.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
4. PARADOXIUM FAV TOP RATED 5 $2.75 $1.26 $3.77
1. STRETAN RULER 4 $3.10 $1.26 $4.17
8. WOLF GAP 1 $6.00 $1.75 $6.50
2. HIDRIX 9 $9.00 $2.15 $8.73
11. TORNADO VALLEY 7 $9.50 $2.25 $9.27
3. INCOGNITO 3 $17.00 $3.30 $14.08
10. SERAPHOX 6 $41.00 $5.50 $33.12
9. NOMADIC 2 $126.00 $14.00 $57.16
Favourite record at RANDWICK ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.75) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.50–3.49 this race 44% 75% 48*
3.50–4.99 29% 64% 42*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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