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MORPHETTVILLE

R1 12:00 PM R2 12:35 PM R3 1:10 PM R4 1:45 PM R5 2:20 PM R6 3:00 PM R7 3:45 PM R8 4:25 PM R9 5:05 PM

Race 1

12:00 PM
1050m · 6 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Morphettville Racecourse ›
🏁 Result
1st MATHEMATICIAN ⭐ Best Bet
2nd SHOCAP 💡 Saver
3rd WILTSHIRE SQUARE
4th MORE THAN HOPE
✅ Best Bet won — MATHEMATICIAN finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — SHOCAP ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
3
MATHEMATICIAN W $1.32
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
5
SHOCAP P $1.50
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
3. MATHEMATICIAN FAV TOP RATED 5 $1.32 $1.08 $1.89
5. SHOCAP 3 $5.00 $1.50 $5.87
6. BARDIGRUB 1 $13.00 $3.20 $8.86
4. WILTSHIRE SQUARE 4 $13.00 $3.10 $9.96
7. MORE THAN HOPE 7 $23.00 $4.40 $18.09
2. GAZZ 6 $61.00 $6.50 $30.39
Favourite record at MORPHETTVILLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 53% 77% 30*
2.50–3.49 22% 53% 64
3.50–4.99 22% 40% 58*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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