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WARRNAMBOOL

R1 12:15 PM R2 12:50 PM R3 1:25 PM R4 2:00 PM R5 2:40 PM R6 3:20 PM R7 4:05 PM R8 4:45 PM

Race 7

4:05 PM
2350m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st OFF HIS ROCA (NZ) 📍 Place Pick
2nd VELLASGLORY
3rd FLASHLIGHT (NZ)
4th COUSINS DAY 💡 Saver
✅ Place bet — won outright — OFF HIS ROCA (NZ) finished 1st
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
2
OFF HIS ROCA (NZ) P $1.26
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
8
COUSINS DAY W $7.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. OFF HIS ROCA (NZ) FAV TOP RATED 3 $2.65 $1.26 $4.01
3. FLASHLIGHT (NZ) 5 $2.90 $1.26 $4.07
8. COUSINS DAY 7 $7.00 $1.95 $7.82
4. VELLASGLORY 9 $7.50 $2.00 $8.31
1. NICOFFHOME 11 $9.00 $2.15 $9.17
5. BALTIC WAY 6 $11.00 $2.40 $9.93
7. COUNT ZERO (NZ) 4 $71.00 $6.00 $37.11
10. STAY IN YOUR LANE 10 $91.00 $6.50 $49.31
Favourite record at WARRNAMBOOL ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.65) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 52% 81% 21*
2.50–3.49 this race 25% 71% 24*
3.50–4.99 27% 54% 26*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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