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BALLARAT

R1 12:30 PM R2 1:00 PM R3 1:30 PM R4 2:00 PM R5 2:30 PM R6 3:00 PM R7 3:30 PM R8 4:00 PM

Race 3

1:30 PM
2000m · 11 runners
🏁 Result
1st PRINCESS PAINTON (NZ)
2nd TRYST AND DOUBT 📍 Place Pick
3rd SHAW CAN FLY
4th NIGHTOWL (NZ)
✅ Place bet landed — TRYST AND DOUBT ran a place
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
10
TRYST AND DOUBT P $1.50
place only
Open race with no standout. Our model's top pick for a place bet.
5
COLIZZI (NZ) W $5.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
10. TRYST AND DOUBT FAV TOP RATED 17 $3.80 $1.50 $5.58
12. PRINCESS PAINTON (NZ) 5 $5.00 $1.85 $6.31
5. COLIZZI (NZ) 10 $5.50 $1.95 $6.42
9. SHOTARO 7 $5.50 $1.95 $7.17
3. NIGHTOWL (NZ) 6 $8.50 $2.45 $8.83
1. ARDASHIR (FR) 9 $8.50 $2.45 $11.04
8. SHAW CAN FLY 11 $23.00 $4.60 $17.75
13. HOT SPIRIT (NZ) 4 $41.00 $6.00 $26.77
14. PRECIOUSMORE 2 $34.00 $5.75 $32.85
16. SOUL GLOW 12 $41.00 $6.00 $36.34
18. SWEET LITTLE MARY 3 $201.00 $21.00 $86.18
Favourite record at BALLARAT ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.80) sits in the 3.50–4.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.50–3.49 39% 64% 44*
3.50–4.99 this race 31% 72% 29*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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