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PAKENHAM

R1 4:15 PM R2 4:45 PM R3 5:15 PM R4 5:45 PM R5 6:15 PM R6 6:45 PM R7 7:15 PM R8 7:45 PM

Race 4

5:45 PM

1400m · 8 runners

📍 Our record & guide for Southside Racing Pakenham ›

🏁 Result

1st TITAN'S SPIRIT 💡 Saver

2nd CAVALRY ⭐ Best Bet

3rd ASK YOUR MOTHER

4th SACRE BLEU

〰️ Best Bet placed — CAVALRY ran a place (win bet missed)

✅ Saver won — TITAN'S SPIRIT finished 1st

Dominant favourite Lean

Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.

CAVALRY W $1.32

win ⭐ Best Bet

Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.

TITAN'S SPIRIT P $1.60

Saver · place

Saver if the favourite is rolled.

Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.

Full field & ratings ›

Runner	Barrier	Win	Place	Our rate
3. CAVALRY FAV TOP RATED	8	$1.32	$1.02	$2.04
8. TITAN'S SPIRIT	12	$9.00	$1.60	$8.57
2. ASK YOUR MOTHER	1	$10.00	$1.70	$8.83
7. SACRE BLEU	2	$11.00	$1.90	$9.90
5. PARERA	11	$11.00	$1.90	$9.96
6. POPEYE	3	$41.00	$3.90	$24.91
10. ROSE VELVET	9	$91.00	$5.50	$36.68
9. WAR NO MORE	6	$201.00	$8.00	$90.96

Favourite record at PAKENHAM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav price	Win	Place	Races
1.50–1.99	61%	78%	41*
2.00–2.49	36%	72%	39*
2.50–3.49	39%	77%	75
3.50–4.99	11%	50%	36*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice. *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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