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PAKENHAM

R1 4:15 PM R2 4:45 PM R3 5:15 PM R4 5:45 PM R5 6:15 PM R6 6:45 PM R7 7:15 PM R8 7:45 PM

Race 5

6:15 PM
1400m · 10 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Southside Racing Pakenham ›
🏁 Result
1st RASP
2nd BENCOUVER
3rd LETHAL THOUGHTS
4th THE NEGOTIATOR 📍 Place Pick
❌ Unplaced — THE NEGOTIATOR didn't feature
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
4
THE NEGOTIATOR P $1.45
place only
Open race with no standout. Our model's top pick for a place bet.
11
KARASMATIC (NZ) W $9.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
4. THE NEGOTIATOR FAV TOP RATED 5 $3.50 $1.45 $4.95
1. LETHAL THOUGHTS 3 $4.00 $1.60 $5.55
9. RASP 2 $4.40 $1.70 $6.31
11. KARASMATIC (NZ) 1 $9.50 $2.80 $10.64
2. AKICITA 9 $11.00 $3.10 $12.53
6. SABI STORM 10 $9.50 $2.70 $12.76
5. SABERTOOTH (NZ) 4 $14.00 $3.50 $15.44
7. BALLISTIC BLUE 7 $20.00 $4.40 $16.92
8. MAWHERA 8 $41.00 $5.50 $23.82
10. BENCOUVER 6 $34.00 $5.75 $24.20
Favourite record at PAKENHAM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.50) sits in the 3.50–4.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 61% 78% 41*
2.00–2.49 36% 72% 39*
2.50–3.49 39% 77% 75
3.50–4.99 this race 11% 50% 36*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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