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NEWCASTLE

R1 12:15 PM R2 12:50 PM R3 1:25 PM R4 2:00 PM R5 2:35 PM R6 3:10 PM R7 3:50 PM R8 4:30 PM

Race 1

12:15 PM
900m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st TWOEXCEL
2nd THE WAY AHEAD
3rd PLUME 💡 Saver
4th BIFURCATION ⭐ Best Bet
❌ Unplaced — BIFURCATION didn't feature
✅ Saver placed — PLUME ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
6
BIFURCATION W $1.95
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
4
PLUME P $1.24
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
6. BIFURCATION FAV TOP RATED 3 $1.95 $1.10 $2.73
4. PLUME 4 $3.40 $1.24 $4.53
9. TWOEXCEL 1 $5.50 $1.34 $5.39
5. THE WAY AHEAD 2 $6.50 $1.38 $7.04
1. DIJON AUTRE 7 $81.00 $5.50 $29.96
7. RUSSIAN WORDS 8 $61.00 $5.00 $34.57
8. SKYZA 6 $201.00 $9.00 $84.26
3. APACHE COMMAND 5 $201.00 $9.00 $88.46
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.95) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 56% 84% 25*
2.00–2.49 39% 84% 38*
2.50–3.49 39% 64% 44*
3.50–4.99 30% 57% 30*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.