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NEWCASTLE

R1 12:15 PM R2 12:50 PM R3 1:25 PM R4 2:00 PM R5 2:35 PM R6 3:10 PM R7 3:50 PM R8 4:30 PM

Race 2

12:50 PM
1600m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st STAND MY GROUND 📍 Place Pick
2nd VISION IN A DREAM
3rd SCOOP THE POOL
4th VALENTIAGO
✅ Place bet — won outright — STAND MY GROUND finished 1st
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree — a genuine top pick. Win or place.
12
STAND MY GROUND W $2.25·P $1.22
win or place
Market and model agree on this runner — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
12. STAND MY GROUND FAV TOP RATED 6 $2.25 $1.22 $3.11
8. SCOOP THE POOL 12 $5.00 $1.50 $5.94
13. VISION IN A DREAM 2 $6.00 $1.70 $7.40
1. INDIGO STAR 5 $9.00 $2.15 $9.95
11. MOORDYUP 9 $9.50 $2.25 $10.59
10. VALENTIAGO 4 $14.00 $2.90 $11.18
7. GARRIX 3 $13.00 $2.60 $12.82
2. LEGS POWER 7 $151.00 $10.00 $82.61
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.25) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 56% 84% 25*
2.00–2.49 this race 39% 84% 38*
2.50–3.49 39% 64% 44*
3.50–4.99 30% 57% 30*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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