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NEWCASTLE

R1 12:15 PM R2 12:50 PM R3 1:25 PM R4 2:00 PM R5 2:35 PM R6 3:10 PM R7 3:50 PM R8 4:30 PM

Race 4

2:00 PM

900m · 11 runners

🏁 Result

1st ZING TO ME 💡 Saver

2nd FIERCE ⭐ Best Bet

3rd SHE'S ASSORT

4th NO STATEMENT

〰️ Best Bet placed — FIERCE ran a place (win bet missed)

✅ Saver won — ZING TO ME finished 1st

Dominant favourite Lean

Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.

FIERCE W $2.00

win ⭐ Best Bet

Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.

ZING TO ME P $1.50

Saver · place

Saver if the favourite is rolled.

Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.

Full field & ratings ›

Runner	Barrier	Win	Place	Our rate
1. FIERCE FAV TOP RATED	2	$2.00	$1.20	$3.21
7. ZING TO ME	4	$4.60	$1.50	$5.67
8. SHE'S ASSORT	1	$6.50	$1.90	$7.57
10. ST FAITH'S	7	$11.00	$2.50	$9.90
4. WHIL TO WIN	3	$12.00	$2.70	$10.41
5. NO STATEMENT	10	$13.00	$2.90	$14.23
6. TRUMPER	6	$41.00	$5.50	$32.12
11. MR TRACKSIDE	12	$71.00	$7.00	$39.38
2. PRATT	11	$81.00	$7.50	$42.48
12. RANUNCULA (NZ)	5	$151.00	$13.00	$61.95
3. ANGARA	8	$101.00	$8.50	$62.73

Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.00) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav price	Win	Place	Races
1.50–1.99	56%	84%	25*
2.00–2.49 this race	39%	84%	38*
2.50–3.49	39%	64%	44*
3.50–4.99	30%	57%	30*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice. *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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