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NEWCASTLE

R1 12:15 PM R2 12:50 PM R3 1:25 PM R4 2:00 PM R5 2:35 PM R6 3:10 PM R7 3:50 PM R8 4:30 PM

Race 7

3:50 PM
1200m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st CALL ME GORGEOUS
2nd SHELSTEIN 📍 Place Pick
3rd RIVKIN
4th SOLITARIO 💡 Saver
✅ Place bet landed — SHELSTEIN ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
2
SHELSTEIN P $1.28
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
5
SOLITARIO W $8.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model and market disagree. Our top-rated runner isn't the market favourite — we rate a different runner ahead of it. A genuine difference of opinion, so tread carefully.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. SHELSTEIN TOP RATED 3 $2.90 $1.28 $4.40
4. CALL ME GORGEOUS FAV 6 $2.80 $1.28 $4.55
5. SOLITARIO 4 $8.00 $2.15 $8.10
6. BETTER LATE 8 $7.00 $2.10 $8.48
3. RIVKIN 7 $12.00 $2.70 $10.69
8. NATION CHANGING 9 $20.00 $3.80 $14.24
10. FLYING ARGYLE 2 $17.00 $3.50 $16.13
12. ISLAND LEGEND 11 $31.00 $4.80 $19.25
11. OLLIE'S SECRET 12 $51.00 $5.75 $29.45
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.80) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 56% 84% 25*
2.00–2.49 39% 84% 38*
2.50–3.49 this race 39% 64% 44*
3.50–4.99 30% 57% 30*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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