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LAUNCESTON

R1 4:34 PM R2 5:08 PM R3 5:38 PM R4 6:08 PM R5 6:38 PM R6 7:08 PM R7 7:38 PM R8 8:08 PM R9 8:38 PM

Race 7

7:38 PM
1100m · 6 runners
🏁 Result
1st CHEROKEE DANCER
2nd IN THE OCEAN ⭐ Best Bet
3rd THESPIAN WATERS
4th GOLDEN MEADOW
〰️ Best Bet placed — IN THE OCEAN ran a place (win bet missed)
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
2
IN THE OCEAN W $1.75
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
3
PEROLA P $1.75
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. IN THE OCEAN FAV TOP RATED 2 $1.75 $1.22 $2.60
3. PEROLA 4 $4.20 $1.75 $4.94
1. THESPIAN WATERS 3 $4.80 $1.95 $6.03
5. CHEROKEE DANCER 1 $14.00 $4.00 $11.17
6. GOLDEN MEADOW 6 $19.00 $4.60 $12.16
4. BOLD INSTINCT 7 $18.00 $4.40 $13.43
Favourite record at LAUNCESTON

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 27% 86% 22*
2.50–3.49 37% 66% 35*
3.50–4.99 14% 57% 21*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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