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KEMBLA GRANGE

R1 12:43 PM R2 1:10 PM R3 1:45 PM R4 2:20 PM R5 3:00 PM R6 3:40 PM R7 4:20 PM R8 5:00 PM

Race 8

5:00 PM
1400m · 6 runners
🏁 Result
1st PAPPA BLUE (NZ)
2nd CHANGE MY ADDRESS
3rd SATNESS (NZ)
4th JOHNNY 📍 Place Pick
❌ Unplaced — JOHNNY didn't feature
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree — a genuine top pick. Win or place.
5
JOHNNY W $2.10·P $1.28
win or place
Market and model agree on this runner — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
5. JOHNNY FAV TOP RATED 12 $2.10 $1.28 $3.04
10. PAPPA BLUE (NZ) 8 $3.80 $1.65 $3.96
1. SATNESS (NZ) 9 $5.50 $2.15 $6.14
6. CHANGE MY ADDRESS 3 $5.50 $2.15 $6.90
2. BARBAROSSA 2 $15.00 $4.20 $11.35
13. STRAY 10 $101.00 $19.00 $44.58
Favourite record at KEMBLA GRANGE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.10) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 57% 70% 23*
2.00–2.49 this race 48% 86% 21*
2.50–3.49 33% 58% 40*
3.50–4.99 39% 61% 23*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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