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TOOWOOMBA

R1 3:39 PM R2 4:19 PM R3 4:59 PM R4 5:33 PM R5 6:07 PM R6 6:45 PM R7 7:21 PM

Race 1

3:39 PM
1000m · 7 runners
📍 Our record & guide for The Toowoomba Turf Club ›
🏁 Result
1st BLUE EYE DAME
2nd OCEAN JOY
3rd SAY WHEN SUTTY
4th TOUTE SWEET 💡 Saver
❌ Unplaced — DARTH INVADER didn't feature
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
DARTH INVADER W $1.65
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
16
TOUTE SWEET P $2.35
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. DARTH INVADER FAV TOP RATED 2 $1.65 $1.22 $2.51
16. TOUTE SWEET 5 $6.50 $2.35 $6.93
10. DECORATIVE 15 $9.50 $3.20 $8.56
9. OCEAN JOY 12 $7.50 $2.60 $8.83
13. BLUE EYE DAME 10 $13.00 $3.80 $10.85
14. MY SICADA 9 $16.00 $4.40 $13.01
15. SAY WHEN SUTTY 13 $31.00 $5.75 $17.15
Favourite record at TOOWOOMBA ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.65) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 50% 85% 20*
2.00–2.49 32% 68% 31*
2.50–3.49 32% 66% 50*
3.50–4.99 24% 52% 25*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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