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DARWIN

R1 2:47 PM R2 3:25 PM R3 4:05 PM R4 4:46 PM R5 5:16 PM R6 5:55 PM

Race 1

2:47 PM
1300m · 6 runners
🏁 Result
1st BRUNO BRUNO ⭐ Best Bet
2nd HELL FIRE MISS
3rd RHESUS 💡 Saver
4th ATLANTIC OCEAN
✅ Best Bet won — BRUNO BRUNO finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — RHESUS ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
2
BRUNO BRUNO W $2.00
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
5
RHESUS P $2.10
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
4
KESSLER W $9.00
Form view · saver 7.4% above market on form
Form model rates this runner above its market price. Track+distance: 38.5% (13 starts) · Recent form: 3513
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. BRUNO BRUNO FAV TOP RATED 1 $2.00 $1.26 $2.86
5. RHESUS 4 $5.00 $2.10 $5.80
1. ATLANTIC OCEAN 2 $5.00 $2.05 $6.23
4. KESSLER 6 $9.00 $3.10 $8.35
6. HELL FIRE MISS 5 $11.00 $3.60 $9.02
3. GALAXY GENERAL 3 $14.00 $4.00 $11.49
Favourite record at DARWIN ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.00) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 this race 41% 90% 29*
2.50–3.49 40% 73% 30*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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