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DARWIN

R1 2:47 PM R2 3:25 PM R3 4:05 PM R4 4:46 PM R5 5:16 PM R6 5:55 PM

Race 4

4:46 PM
1100m · 10 runners
🏁 Result
1st TIGERS ROAR
2nd RISING WATER 📍 Place Pick
3rd VIACONI
4th TOUGH IMPACT
✅ Place bet landed — RISING WATER ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
9
RISING WATER P $1.30
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
1
ANECDOTAL W $6.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
9. RISING WATER FAV TOP RATED 3 $2.75 $1.30 $4.24
2. TIGERS ROAR 2 $2.90 $1.30 $4.58
1. ANECDOTAL 7 $6.50 $2.05 $8.01
6. BRASH LASS 6 $12.00 $3.00 $11.15
3. VIACONI 9 $11.00 $2.70 $12.27
8. VALKUR 1 $16.00 $3.60 $15.21
4. JUELENE 10 $26.00 $4.60 $18.43
10. TOUGH IMPACT 8 $26.00 $4.80 $19.92
7. MLINZI 4 $31.00 $5.25 $22.81
5. LITTLE DITTY 5 $41.00 $5.50 $28.22
Favourite record at DARWIN ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.75) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 41% 90% 29*
2.50–3.49 this race 40% 73% 30*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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