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R1 12:01 PM R2 12:36 PM R3 1:11 PM R4 1:46 PM R5 2:21 PM R6 2:56 PM R7 3:31 PM R8 4:11 PM

Race 3

1:11 PM
1312m · 12 runners
🏁 Result
1st CARRIEDO ⭐ Best Bet
2nd BRIGHTLY DANCE 💡 Saver
3rd BOOMEROO
4th THE DEFENDER
✅ Best Bet won — CARRIEDO finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — BRIGHTLY DANCE ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
12
CARRIEDO W $1.60
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
11
BRIGHTLY DANCE P $2.15
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
12. CARRIEDO FAV TOP RATED 9 $1.60 $1.14 $2.57
10. BOOMEROO 4 $9.50 $2.40 $8.89
6. KING CAMELOT 2 $9.50 $2.40 $9.08
11. BRIGHTLY DANCE 8 $7.50 $2.15 $9.68
2. THE DEFENDER 1 $14.00 $3.10 $13.61
1. ROMUALD 10 $21.00 $3.80 $18.45
5. IRELAND'S TEARS 3 $21.00 $3.90 $26.75
7. SALTILLO 18 $23.00 $4.20 $29.03
18. COLOUR CIRCLE 15 $34.00 $5.25 $29.56
15. HURCO 11 $61.00 $6.50 $48.45
4. FANTASY REEL 13 $91.00 $7.50 $55.76
14. HOLIDAY SURCHARGE 6 $151.00 $15.00 $75.24
Favourite record at GEELONG ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.50–3.49 37% 74% 46*
3.50–4.99 23% 59% 22*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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