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HAWKESBURY

R1 12:50 PM R2 1:25 PM R3 2:05 PM R4 2:40 PM R5 3:20 PM R6 3:55 PM R7 4:30 PM

Race 5

3:20 PM
2000m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st MAGICON
2nd AUSSIE NATION (IRE)
3rd LUGARNO 📍 Place Pick
4th SAVVY SPY (NZ)
✅ Place bet landed — LUGARNO ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
1
LUGARNO P $1.28
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
3
TWISTED LOVE (NZ) W $7.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. LUGARNO FAV TOP RATED 2 $2.60 $1.28 $3.98
7. SAVVY SPY (NZ) 5 $4.60 $1.45 $5.70
3. TWISTED LOVE (NZ) 7 $7.00 $2.05 $7.40
8. AUSSIE NATION (IRE) 4 $7.00 $2.10 $7.82
4. AFLOAT 9 $11.00 $2.50 $10.71
6. PROCEAN (NZ) 6 $10.00 $2.35 $11.02
5. MAGICON 1 $16.00 $3.30 $14.50
9. FEARN TRICK 8 $23.00 $4.00 $17.55
Favourite record at HAWKESBURY ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.60) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.50–3.49 this race 17% 60% 35*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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