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MACKAY

R1 1:42 PM R2 2:07 PM R3 2:42 PM R4 3:17 PM R5 3:57 PM R6 4:37 PM R7 5:10 PM R8 5:40 PM

Race 4

3:17 PM
1300m · 11 runners
🏁 Result
1st BOLD CHANGE ⭐ Best Bet
2nd SHE'S GOT LYRICS
3rd NOTFORTHEMONEY
4th BELVEDERE MISS
✅ Best Bet won — BOLD CHANGE finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
BOLD CHANGE W $2.00
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
4
SUMICH P $1.90
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. BOLD CHANGE FAV TOP RATED 2 $2.00 $1.20 $3.09
11. BELVEDERE MISS 1 $7.50 $2.15 $7.61
4. SUMICH 9 $6.50 $1.90 $7.73
5. NOTFORTHEMONEY 10 $6.50 $1.90 $8.19
6. READY AND BETTA 8 $8.50 $2.20 $8.92
7. TIME POWER 13 $17.00 $3.50 $16.15
9. SHE'S GOT LYRICS 5 $41.00 $5.50 $25.19
10. SHE'SANAIS 7 $71.00 $7.00 $37.41
8. LADY DE VEGA 3 $101.00 $8.50 $49.25
2. KING CANUTE 11 $71.00 $6.50 $52.74
12. FROSTY QUEEN 6 $101.00 $8.50 $70.51
Favourite record at MACKAY ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.00) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 52% 88% 25*
2.00–2.49 this race 43% 76% 21*
2.50–3.49 31% 74% 39*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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