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PAKENHAM

R1 4:15 PM R2 4:45 PM R3 5:15 PM R4 5:45 PM R5 6:15 PM R6 6:45 PM R7 7:15 PM R8 7:45 PM

Race 4

5:45 PM
1600m · 10 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Southside Racing Pakenham ›
🏁 Result
1st ACCIDENTAL BID (GB) 📍 Place Pick
2nd SHINDY 💡 Saver
3rd CERTAINLY QUIET
4th KINGS DOMAIN
✅ Place bet — won outright — ACCIDENTAL BID (GB) finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — SHINDY ran a place
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
4
ACCIDENTAL BID (GB) P $1.34
place only
Open race with no standout. Our model's top pick for a place bet.
11
SHINDY W $10.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
4. ACCIDENTAL BID (GB) FAV TOP RATED 2 $3.20 $1.34 $4.04
12. CERTAINLY QUIET 7 $3.50 $1.40 $5.27
7. KINGS DOMAIN 8 $5.00 $1.75 $6.55
11. SHINDY 6 $10.00 $2.70 $10.44
3. ZAMPARINI SPIRIT 11 $8.50 $2.35 $10.58
6. FABULOUS FIANO 4 $19.00 $3.90 $16.59
5. ERUPT 3 $23.00 $4.60 $19.09
8. REDCLOUD 12 $20.00 $4.00 $19.50
10. KADDARI 9 $31.00 $5.50 $22.74
9. DOWNTHERABBITHOLE (NZ) 10 $151.00 $15.00 $82.54
Favourite record at PAKENHAM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.20) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 61% 78% 41*
2.00–2.49 36% 72% 39*
2.50–3.49 this race 39% 77% 75
3.50–4.99 11% 50% 36*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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