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IPSWICH

R1 12:57 PM R2 1:34 PM R3 2:12 PM R4 2:50 PM R5 3:27 PM R6 4:04 PM R7 4:40 PM R8 5:19 PM

Race 5

3:27 PM
1100m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st ACAPULCO GIRL (NZ) ⭐ Best Bet
2nd LE CHOCOLAT (NZ)
3rd SHELLY'S ACE
4th ONIGIRI (GB)
✅ Best Bet won — ACAPULCO GIRL (NZ) finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
5
ACAPULCO GIRL (NZ) W $1.75
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
9
BRAVE HORATIUS P $1.26
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
5. ACAPULCO GIRL (NZ) FAV TOP RATED 4 $1.75 $1.09 $2.71
9. BRAVE HORATIUS 3 $3.60 $1.26 $4.30
2. LE CHOCOLAT (NZ) 6 $4.60 $1.28 $5.34
10. BIG DEMEANOR 5 $21.00 $3.00 $14.86
6. SO BRIGHT 9 $34.00 $3.80 $23.06
8. ONIGIRI (GB) 7 $51.00 $4.60 $32.95
14. SHELLY'S ACE 1 $71.00 $5.25 $33.88
11. DOLLY DISCO 12 $81.00 $5.50 $34.16
12. EXCEED THE SKY 10 $201.00 $9.00 $86.52
Favourite record at IPSWICH ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.75) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 63% 93% 27*
2.00–2.49 38% 85% 34*
2.50–3.49 22% 62% 73
3.50–4.99 29% 53% 45*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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