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CRANBOURNE

R1 4:45 PM R2 5:15 PM R3 5:45 PM R4 6:15 PM R5 6:45 PM R6 7:15 PM R7 7:45 PM

Race 3

5:45 PM
2540m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st LUIGI THE BRAVE ⭐ Best Bet
2nd NOBLE FALCON (NZ)
3rd SIVA TAU
4th ST DOMINIC
✅ Best Bet won — LUIGI THE BRAVE finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
4
LUIGI THE BRAVE W $1.75
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
5
SO VOGUE P $1.60
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
4. LUIGI THE BRAVE FAV TOP RATED 5 $1.75 $1.24 $2.65
5. SO VOGUE 3 $3.80 $1.60 $5.01
8. SIVA TAU 8 $5.00 $2.10 $5.48
7. NOBLE FALCON (NZ) 6 $15.00 $4.20 $11.06
9. THE LONG MOVER 7 $21.00 $5.25 $14.70
6. ST DOMINIC 9 $21.00 $5.00 $15.95
1. AKI 1 $101.00 $17.00 $51.74
Favourite record at CRANBOURNE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.75) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 52% 86% 29*
2.00–2.49 26% 71% 31*
2.50–3.49 43% 72% 47*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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