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CRANBOURNE

R1 4:45 PM R2 5:15 PM R3 5:45 PM R4 6:15 PM R5 6:45 PM R6 7:15 PM R7 7:45 PM

Race 4

6:15 PM
1400m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st LET IT BEEL (NZ) ⭐ Best Bet
2nd WRITTEN STORY
3rd ZOUDEADLY
4th PACKERS JOURNEY
✅ Best Bet won — LET IT BEEL (NZ) finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
2
LET IT BEEL (NZ) W $1.60
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
7
ELEGANT CONTESSA P $1.55
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. LET IT BEEL (NZ) FAV TOP RATED 4 $1.60 $1.09 $2.45
7. ELEGANT CONTESSA 9 $6.50 $1.55 $7.04
3. ZOUDEADLY 5 $6.50 $1.55 $7.50
5. SALARAE 7 $11.00 $2.15 $8.32
6. WRITTEN STORY 3 $13.00 $2.35 $14.06
9. PASIFAE 6 $20.00 $3.30 $14.07
1. POWER OF MONEY 1 $81.00 $5.75 $41.20
4. PACKERS JOURNEY 8 $91.00 $6.00 $44.58
8. FLYING RICHES 2 $201.00 $13.00 $125.88
Favourite record at CRANBOURNE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.60) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 52% 86% 29*
2.00–2.49 26% 71% 31*
2.50–3.49 43% 72% 47*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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