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BALLARAT

R1 12:30 PM R2 1:00 PM R3 1:30 PM R4 2:00 PM R5 2:30 PM R6 3:00 PM R7 3:30 PM R8 4:00 PM

Race 7

3:30 PM
1500m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st TREASUREFLIGHT
2nd ONE MORE STAR
3rd SQUAGAGA
4th MAKUSHA
❌ Unplaced — ALOYSIUS didn't feature
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
1
ALOYSIUS P $1.32
place only
Open race with no standout. Our model's top pick for a place bet.
8
KAWA (JPN) W $5.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. ALOYSIUS FAV TOP RATED 3 $3.20 $1.32 $4.57
4. TREASUREFLIGHT 9 $3.60 $1.36 $5.22
8. KAWA (JPN) 8 $5.00 $1.65 $5.85
7. GARFIELD 6 $5.50 $1.75 $6.12
9. ONE MORE STAR 4 $9.00 $2.35 $9.30
5. MAKUSHA 1 $17.00 $3.50 $16.18
6. CIRCA 10 $61.00 $6.50 $31.48
2. REDDIVO (NZ) 5 $71.00 $7.00 $31.93
10. SQUAGAGA 2 $81.00 $8.00 $42.84
Favourite record at BALLARAT ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.20) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.50–3.49 this race 38% 63% 40*
3.50–4.99 30% 70% 27*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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