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EAGLE FARM

R1 12:38 PM R2 1:13 PM R3 1:48 PM R4 2:23 PM R5 3:04 PM R6 3:47 PM R7 4:27 PM R8 5:10 PM

Race 4

2:23 PM
1200m · 7 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Lauren Abbott Racing ›
🏁 Result
1st ABOUT TO EXPLODE ⭐ Best Bet
2nd POCKET FULL
3rd MOONHAVEN 💡 Saver
4th BEWS
✅ Best Bet won — ABOUT TO EXPLODE finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — MOONHAVEN ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
6
ABOUT TO EXPLODE W $1.85
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
7
MOONHAVEN P $2.65
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
6. ABOUT TO EXPLODE FAV TOP RATED 5 $1.85 $1.26 $2.66
7. MOONHAVEN 3 $7.00 $2.65 $6.98
4. POCKET FULL 4 $7.50 $2.80 $7.10
5. BRERETON 1 $8.50 $3.10 $7.81
3. HE'S HEAVEN 2 $9.00 $3.40 $9.02
2. MILLANE 9 $21.00 $5.50 $18.54
9. BEWS 6 $41.00 $8.00 $21.11
Favourite record at EAGLE FARM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.85) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 55% 85% 20*
2.00–2.49 37% 69% 35*
2.50–3.49 20% 60% 70
3.50–4.99 19% 54% 48*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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