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ROSEHILL

R1 11:20 AM R2 11:55 AM R3 12:30 PM R4 1:05 PM R5 1:40 PM R6 2:15 PM R7 2:50 PM R8 3:35 PM R9 4:15 PM R10 4:55 PM

Race 5

1:40 PM
2000m · 5 runners
🏁 Result
1st AELIANA (NZ) ⭐ Best Bet
2nd LINDERMANN
3rd SIR DELIUS (GB) 💡 Saver
4th TRINITY COLLEGE (IRE)
✅ Best Bet won — AELIANA (NZ) finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — SIR DELIUS (GB) ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
4
AELIANA (NZ) W $1.65
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
1
SIR DELIUS (GB) P $1.26
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
2
LINDERMANN W $15.00
Form view · saver 13.5% above market on form
Form model rates this runner above its market price. Track+distance: 50% (4 starts) · Recent form: 1x39
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
4. AELIANA (NZ) FAV TOP RATED 4 $1.65 $1.12 $2.22
1. SIR DELIUS (GB) 6 $3.00 $1.26 $3.46
3. TRINITY COLLEGE (IRE) 2 $11.00 $3.10 $9.55
2. LINDERMANN 3 $15.00 $3.80 $10.72
6. ALALCANCE (GB) 5 $31.00 $6.25 $15.93
Favourite record at ROSEHILL ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 45% 95% 20*
2.50–3.49 40% 71% 42*
3.50–4.99 5% 48% 21*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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