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GEELONG

R1 12:20 PM R2 12:55 PM R3 1:30 PM R4 2:05 PM R5 2:45 PM R6 3:20 PM R7 3:55 PM

Race 1

12:20 PM
2255m · 6 runners
🏁 Result
1st ROYAL OPTIMISM 💡 Saver
2nd SOUL MISTRESS
3rd PARAMOUNT WAR
4th TRYST AND DOUBT 📍 Place Pick
❌ Unplaced — TRYST AND DOUBT didn't feature
✅ Saver won — ROYAL OPTIMISM finished 1st
Competitive Lean
Model and market disagree — our top pick differs from the market favourite.
6
TRYST AND DOUBT W $2.25·P $1.24
win or place
Our model rates this runner above the market favourite on form. Worth a win or place play.
4
ROYAL OPTIMISM P $1.24
Saver · place
Market favourite as a place saver — the market likes this one even if our model is cooler.
Model and market disagree. Our top-rated runner isn't the market favourite — we rate a different runner ahead of it. A genuine difference of opinion, so tread carefully.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
6. TRYST AND DOUBT TOP RATED 4 $2.25 $1.24 $2.92
4. ROYAL OPTIMISM FAV 9 $2.10 $1.24 $3.11
3. PARAMOUNT WAR 2 $9.00 $2.70 $7.41
7. SOUL MISTRESS 1 $10.00 $2.90 $7.79
8. SWEET LITTLE MARY 6 $23.00 $4.60 $16.81
1. LE PLUS RAPIDE 3 $201.00 $17.00 $80.27
Favourite record at GEELONG ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.10) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 this race 39% 64% 28*
2.50–3.49 34% 73% 64
3.50–4.99 24% 65% 34*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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