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GEELONG

R1 12:20 PM R2 12:55 PM R3 1:30 PM R4 2:05 PM R5 2:45 PM R6 3:20 PM R7 3:55 PM

Race 2

12:55 PM
1235m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st FIVEMINUTEWARNING (NZ)
2nd HOLDING CAPTIVE 📍 Place Pick
3rd MELEYS
4th MISS XTRAVAGANZA
✅ Place bet landed — HOLDING CAPTIVE ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
6
HOLDING CAPTIVE P $1.22
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
8
SOVIET STRIKE W $8.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
6. HOLDING CAPTIVE FAV TOP RATED 3 $2.60 $1.22 $3.67
5. FIVEMINUTEWARNING (NZ) 4 $2.90 $1.24 $3.72
11. MELEYS 8 $4.20 $1.30 $5.41
8. SOVIET STRIKE 5 $8.50 $1.95 $8.06
9. VORONYA 11 $11.00 $2.20 $10.39
3. PALTROW 1 $101.00 $6.00 $42.87
10. MISS XTRAVAGANZA 2 $126.00 $7.00 $58.06
4. DANCE THE FOXTROT 10 $151.00 $8.50 $79.87
Favourite record at GEELONG ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.60) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.50–3.49 this race 37% 74% 46*
3.50–4.99 23% 59% 22*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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