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PAKENHAM

R1 4:15 PM R2 4:45 PM R3 5:15 PM R4 5:45 PM R5 6:15 PM R6 6:45 PM R7 7:15 PM R8 7:45 PM

Race 3

5:15 PM
1100m · 8 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Southside Racing Pakenham ›
🏁 Result
1st TILLYA TEPE (NZ) ⭐ Best Bet
2nd LA VELOCITA
3rd ROSE SANGRIA 💡 Saver
4th DOUBT IT'S LOVE
✅ Best Bet won — TILLYA TEPE (NZ) finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — ROSE SANGRIA ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
9
TILLYA TEPE (NZ) W $2.00
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
3
ROSE SANGRIA P $1.34
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
9. TILLYA TEPE (NZ) FAV TOP RATED 8 $2.00 $1.16 $2.94
3. ROSE SANGRIA 4 $4.40 $1.34 $5.58
8. OAK PARK MIA 5 $8.00 $2.05 $8.22
5. DOUBT IT'S LOVE 7 $10.00 $2.25 $10.41
7. LA VELOCITA 9 $14.00 $2.70 $10.74
6. EXIT STRATEGY 3 $9.50 $2.20 $10.79
2. BON AURELIA 1 $31.00 $4.00 $21.96
1. ALODIE 6 $51.00 $5.25 $31.78
Favourite record at PAKENHAM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.00) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 61% 78% 41*
2.00–2.49 this race 36% 72% 39*
2.50–3.49 39% 77% 75
3.50–4.99 11% 50% 36*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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