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DARWIN

R1 2:20 PM R2 2:55 PM R3 3:35 PM R4 4:10 PM R5 4:55 PM R6 5:25 PM

Race 1

2:20 PM
1300m · 6 runners
🏁 Result
1st FLY 📍 Place Pick
2nd HOTIM ENGLISH
3rd I LOVERAIN
4th RHESUS
✅ Place bet — won outright — FLY finished 1st
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree — a genuine top pick. Win or place.
1
FLY W $2.40·P $1.30
win or place
Market and model agree on this runner — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. FLY FAV TOP RATED 1 $2.40 $1.30 $3.40
6. I LOVERAIN 2 $2.75 $1.38 $3.93
7. HELL FIRE MISS 3 $8.00 $3.20 $7.44
4. RHESUS 6 $9.00 $3.40 $8.45
2. HOTIM ENGLISH 5 $9.50 $3.50 $8.79
5. FUNNYIFITWON 4 $15.00 $4.60 $11.74
Favourite record at DARWIN ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.40) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 this race 41% 90% 29*
2.50–3.49 40% 73% 30*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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