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DARWIN

R1 2:20 PM R2 2:55 PM R3 3:35 PM R4 4:10 PM R5 4:55 PM R6 5:25 PM

Race 2

2:55 PM
1200m · 5 runners
🏁 Result
1st PLEASING SMILE ⭐ Best Bet
2nd SASSY ABBEY 💡 Saver
3rd GOD'S EYE
4th GRAYSVILLE
✅ Best Bet won — PLEASING SMILE finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — SASSY ABBEY ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
4
PLEASING SMILE W $1.50
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
5
SASSY ABBEY P $1.38
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
4. PLEASING SMILE FAV TOP RATED 2 $1.50 $1.12 $2.19
5. SASSY ABBEY 5 $3.90 $1.38 $3.95
2. BRASH LASS 4 $9.00 $2.50 $7.70
3. GOD'S EYE 3 $9.50 $2.70 $8.58
1. GRAYSVILLE 1 $26.00 $4.80 $22.57
Favourite record at DARWIN ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 41% 90% 29*
2.50–3.49 40% 73% 30*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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