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DARWIN

R1 2:20 PM R2 2:55 PM R3 3:35 PM R4 4:10 PM R5 4:55 PM R6 5:25 PM

Race 3

3:35 PM
1200m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st MISS BLACK DIAMOND
2nd STRAYA PRIDE
3rd RISING WATER 📍 Place Pick
4th TOUGH IMPACT
✅ Place bet landed — RISING WATER ran a place
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree — a genuine top pick. Win or place.
6
RISING WATER W $2.40·P $1.20
win or place
Market and model agree on this runner — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
6. RISING WATER FAV TOP RATED 2 $2.40 $1.20 $3.38
3. STRAYA PRIDE 6 $2.70 $1.22 $4.06
7. TOUGH IMPACT 3 $6.50 $1.65 $7.32
2. MISS BLACK DIAMOND 7 $8.00 $1.90 $8.03
4. DANGER MAN 4 $13.00 $2.40 $10.27
1. HELL AND BACK 5 $34.00 $4.00 $23.35
5. MLINZI 1 $34.00 $4.20 $24.42
8. AQUA BLUE 8 $151.00 $8.50 $63.98
Favourite record at DARWIN ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.40) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 this race 41% 90% 29*
2.50–3.49 40% 73% 30*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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