‹ All races

DARWIN

R1 2:20 PM R2 2:55 PM R3 3:35 PM R4 4:10 PM R5 4:55 PM R6 5:25 PM

Race 5

4:55 PM
1200m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st NO I'M NOT
2nd JULY 📍 Place Pick
3rd LADY FIREBALL
4th CARAT TIME
✅ Place bet landed — JULY ran a place
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree — a genuine top pick. Win or place.
1
JULY W $2.40·P $1.38
win or place
Market and model agree on this runner — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. JULY FAV TOP RATED 1 $2.40 $1.38 $3.70
2. CARAT TIME 4 $6.50 $2.80 $6.54
3. BAROCCO BAR 3 $5.50 $2.40 $6.72
6. ROC DE RUSSIAN (NZ) 7 $9.50 $3.80 $8.95
5. NO I'M NOT 6 $7.50 $3.20 $9.04
7. VALKUR 5 $9.50 $3.80 $9.04
4. LADY FIREBALL 2 $9.50 $3.70 $10.49
Favourite record at DARWIN ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.40) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 this race 41% 90% 29*
2.50–3.49 40% 73% 30*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.