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ROSEHILL

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Race 7

3:00 PM
1500m · 12 runners
🏁 Result
1st IDLE FLYER ⭐ Best Bet
2nd BLINDEDBYTHELIGHT
3rd FIRESTORM (NZ)
4th SNOW IN MAY
✅ Best Bet won — IDLE FLYER finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
6
IDLE FLYER W $1.95
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
13
MODELLA P $2.10
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
6. IDLE FLYER FAV TOP RATED 5 $1.95 $1.20 $3.05
13. MODELLA 9 $7.00 $2.10 $8.63
2. VERONA ROSE 10 $8.00 $2.20 $9.09
5. TUILERIES 3 $11.00 $2.65 $10.84
7. SHOHISHA 4 $19.00 $3.80 $14.71
9. PERFUMIST (NZ) 12 $23.00 $4.40 $16.47
12. BLINDEDBYTHELIGHT 2 $31.00 $5.25 $20.05
10. CHURCHILL'S CHOICE 6 $31.00 $5.25 $21.14
3. FIRESTORM (NZ) 11 $19.00 $3.80 $23.19
4. SUNSET PARK (GB) 1 $41.00 $6.00 $25.87
8. SNOW IN MAY 7 $61.00 $7.50 $35.03
11. DARK GLITTER 13 $126.00 $15.00 $55.27
Favourite record at ROSEHILL ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 45% 95% 20*
2.50–3.49 40% 71% 42*
3.50–4.99 5% 48% 21*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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