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SUNSHINE COAST

R1 12:04 PM R2 12:39 PM R3 1:14 PM R4 1:49 PM R5 2:24 PM R6 3:05 PM R7 3:46 PM R8 4:30 PM R9 5:00 PM

Race 5

2:24 PM
1000m · 8 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Sunshine Coast Turf Club ›
🏁 Result
1st CHALICE WELL
2nd LOST HIS BEANS
3rd OUTWEIGHED
4th THELWELL
❌ Unplaced — PROVANCE didn't feature
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
3
PROVANCE P $1.32
place only
Open race with no standout. Our model's top pick for a place bet.
4
ADMITTED W $5.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
3. PROVANCE FAV TOP RATED 5 $3.20 $1.32 $4.45
4. ADMITTED 7 $5.00 $1.65 $5.91
7. CHALICE WELL 2 $5.50 $1.75 $6.51
2. LOST HIS BEANS 1 $5.50 $1.75 $6.67
5. OUTWEIGHED 4 $7.00 $2.10 $9.00
6. BRIGHT BLONDE 3 $9.00 $2.35 $9.74
1. THELWELL 6 $17.00 $3.50 $15.20
8. I MISS MARGIE 8 $91.00 $8.50 $43.42
Favourite record at SUNSHINE COAST ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.20) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 67% 93% 27*
2.00–2.49 39% 68% 38*
2.50–3.49 this race 30% 65% 60
3.50–4.99 29% 69% 35*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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