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TOWNSVILLE

R1 1:10 PM R2 1:45 PM R3 2:20 PM R4 2:55 PM R5 3:35 PM R6 4:10 PM R7 4:50 PM

Race 3

2:20 PM
1200m · 11 runners
🏁 Result
1st SHE'S A BEAUTY ⭐ Best Bet
2nd SHADYVALE AL
3rd AMBER AFFAIR 💡 Saver
4th ARANCIA
✅ Best Bet won — SHE'S A BEAUTY finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — AMBER AFFAIR ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
SHE'S A BEAUTY W $1.65
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
11
AMBER AFFAIR P $1.30
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. SHE'S A BEAUTY FAV TOP RATED 6 $1.65 $1.12 $2.85
11. AMBER AFFAIR 12 $3.40 $1.30 $4.85
13. OSCAR BOOIE 11 $15.00 $3.10 $15.26
6. ROYAL EDITION 7 $18.00 $3.30 $15.53
15. SHADYVALE AL 4 $21.00 $3.70 $16.76
8. BELINDA'S RUBI 10 $23.00 $3.70 $17.23
14. PRINCESS SHANGHAI 9 $23.00 $3.80 $18.32
4. ELEGANT VENUS 8 $34.00 $4.60 $19.23
9. I SWIM I WIN (NZ) 2 $41.00 $5.00 $25.55
3. ARANCIA 5 $61.00 $5.75 $29.68
10. JOT GIRL 1 $126.00 $8.50 $65.26
Favourite record at TOWNSVILLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.65) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 48% 84% 25*
2.00–2.49 52% 68% 25*
2.50–3.49 27% 65% 55*
3.50–4.99 22% 43% 23*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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