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TOWNSVILLE

R1 1:10 PM R2 1:45 PM R3 2:20 PM R4 2:55 PM R5 3:35 PM R6 4:10 PM R7 4:50 PM

Race 5

3:35 PM
1200m · 10 runners
🏁 Result
1st BURLINGTON ARCADE ⭐ Best Bet
2nd MISTER DOOBEE
3rd CAROHVIC 💡 Saver
4th AUTUMN GALE
✅ Best Bet won — BURLINGTON ARCADE finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — CAROHVIC ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
3
BURLINGTON ARCADE W $1.70
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
5
CAROHVIC P $1.30
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
3. BURLINGTON ARCADE FAV TOP RATED 3 $1.70 $1.10 $2.72
5. CAROHVIC 9 $4.20 $1.30 $5.36
7. AUTUMN GALE 1 $9.50 $2.10 $8.21
2. NOTTINGTON PRINCE 4 $9.50 $2.10 $10.56
8. GOLD CLASSIC 13 $17.00 $3.00 $13.92
9. TARONG 2 $20.00 $3.30 $14.92
6. MISTER DOOBEE 7 $51.00 $5.25 $25.81
11. VALUBIOUS 8 $71.00 $5.75 $37.95
13. PROPERLEIGH 11 $151.00 $10.00 $78.81
12. MISTER TIA 10 $201.00 $13.00 $79.76
Favourite record at TOWNSVILLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.70) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 48% 84% 25*
2.00–2.49 52% 68% 25*
2.50–3.49 27% 65% 55*
3.50–4.99 22% 43% 23*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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