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NEWCASTLE

R1 12:15 PM R2 12:50 PM R3 1:25 PM R4 2:05 PM R5 2:40 PM R6 3:15 PM R7 3:50 PM R8 4:30 PM

Race 1

12:15 PM
1850m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st CAVALRY 📍 Place Pick
2nd SCOOP THE POOL
3rd SARAPO (GB)
4th VALIANT DREAMER
✅ Place bet — won outright — CAVALRY finished 1st
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree — a genuine top pick. Win or place.
1
CAVALRY W $2.35·P $1.16
win or place
Market and model agree on this runner — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. CAVALRY FAV TOP RATED 4 $2.35 $1.16 $3.48
4. SARAPO (GB) 2 $3.00 $1.24 $4.13
5. SCOOP THE POOL 6 $4.00 $1.28 $4.63
8. LILAC GIRL 7 $7.50 $1.70 $7.49
6. THE CONFIDANTE 9 $34.00 $4.00 $21.43
9. VALIANT DREAMER 3 $41.00 $4.40 $24.22
3. EDORADO (NZ) 8 $126.00 $6.50 $54.15
2. DUBLINERS 5 $151.00 $7.50 $67.89
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.35) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 56% 84% 25*
2.00–2.49 this race 39% 84% 38*
2.50–3.49 39% 64% 44*
3.50–4.99 30% 57% 30*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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