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DOOMBEN

R1 1:38 PM R2 2:13 PM R3 2:48 PM R4 3:23 PM R5 3:58 PM R6 4:33 PM R7 5:08 PM

Race 3

2:48 PM

1630m · 8 runners

📍 Our record & guide for Doomben Racecourse ›

🏁 Result

1st OUTTA REEF

2nd OUR MATE LOCKY

3rd I AM LOUIE (NZ) ⭐ Best Bet

4th RUSTY TYCOON

〰️ Best Bet placed — I AM LOUIE (NZ) ran a place (win bet missed)

Dominant favourite Lean

Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.

I AM LOUIE (NZ) W $1.80

win ⭐ Best Bet

Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.

PARADISE AS USUAL P $1.38

Saver · place

Saver if the favourite is rolled.

Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.

Full field & ratings ›

Runner	Barrier	Win	Place	Our rate
1. I AM LOUIE (NZ) FAV TOP RATED	1	$1.80	$1.12	$2.85
7. PARADISE AS USUAL	9	$4.80	$1.38	$5.95
5. BACETTI	3	$8.00	$2.00	$8.05
3. OUR MATE LOCKY	7	$8.50	$2.05	$8.70
4. RUSTY TYCOON	2	$13.00	$2.50	$11.54
6. OUTTA REEF	5	$14.00	$2.60	$12.53
2. ONLYYOUCANREAD	8	$26.00	$3.80	$18.44
9. VIOLACEOUS	6	$101.00	$6.50	$46.81

Favourite record at DOOMBEN ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.80) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav price	Win	Place	Races
1.50–1.99 this race	30%	83%	23*
2.00–2.49	35%	84%	37*
2.50–3.49	31%	59%	85
3.50–4.99	21%	50%	24*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice. *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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