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GEELONG

R1 12:20 PM R2 12:55 PM R3 1:30 PM R4 2:05 PM R5 2:40 PM R6 3:15 PM R7 3:50 PM R8 4:25 PM

Race 1

12:20 PM
1100m · 6 runners
🏁 Result
1st MISTIFYZOU 💡 Saver
2nd FOX PHIRE
3rd AUTUMN CHARM
4th VELOCITE BELLE 📍 Place Pick
❌ Unplaced — VELOCITE BELLE didn't feature
✅ Saver won — MISTIFYZOU finished 1st
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
7
VELOCITE BELLE P $1.40
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
4
MISTIFYZOU W $5.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
7. VELOCITE BELLE FAV TOP RATED 3 $2.75 $1.40 $3.45
1. AUTUMN CHARM 7 $2.80 $1.38 $3.51
4. MISTIFYZOU 2 $5.50 $2.35 $6.05
3. FOX PHIRE 4 $8.00 $3.20 $8.61
6. NOTHIN' SURER 5 $11.00 $3.80 $11.27
2. EAST INDIES 1 $26.00 $6.00 $18.04
Favourite record at GEELONG ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.75) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.50–3.49 this race 37% 74% 46*
3.50–4.99 23% 59% 22*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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