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WARWICK FARM

R1 12:45 PM R2 1:20 PM R3 1:55 PM R4 2:30 PM R5 3:05 PM R6 3:40 PM R7 4:15 PM R8 4:50 PM

Race 1

12:45 PM
1300m · 11 runners
🏁 Result
1st SERAPHOX ⭐ Best Bet
2nd THE ROARING SUN
3rd ROLLING HOME
4th TIGER TURF
✅ Best Bet won — SERAPHOX finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
9
SERAPHOX W $1.90
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
13
SWITCH ON P $1.32
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
9. SERAPHOX FAV TOP RATED 7 $1.90 $1.18 $3.49
13. SWITCH ON 1 $3.40 $1.32 $3.89
5. FAWLTY AFFAIRS 3 $12.00 $2.60 $12.31
12. RAISE THE BAR 14 $19.00 $3.60 $13.89
10. THE ROARING SUN 6 $15.00 $3.20 $15.29
1. TIGER TURF 13 $23.00 $3.80 $19.65
8. ROLLING HOME 10 $26.00 $4.40 $19.70
11. GRAFOLOGY 4 $41.00 $5.50 $25.30
4. DON VALIENTE 11 $41.00 $5.25 $29.69
2. AMAZONE 2 $51.00 $5.50 $29.79
14. GIVE HER STRENGTH 5 $51.00 $5.75 $33.76
Favourite record at WARWICK FARM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 52% 76% 21*
2.50–3.49 32% 65% 31*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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