‹ All races

DARWIN

R1 2:52 PM R2 3:27 PM R3 4:02 PM R4 4:38 PM

Race 4

4:38 PM
1200m · 4 runners
🏁 Result
1st PREDICTING
2nd ECCLESTONE ⭐ Best Bet
3rd VALKUR
4th TOUGH IMPACT 💡 Saver
〰️ Best Bet placed — ECCLESTONE ran a place (win bet missed)
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
ECCLESTONE W $1.16
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
5
TOUGH IMPACT P $0.00
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. ECCLESTONE FAV TOP RATED 4 $1.16 $0.00 $1.58
5. TOUGH IMPACT 1 $8.00 $0.00 $6.41
2. PREDICTING 5 $8.00 $0.00 $6.49
3. VALKUR 3 $34.00 $0.00 $18.00
Favourite record at DARWIN ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 41% 90% 29*
2.50–3.49 40% 73% 30*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.