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CRANBOURNE

R1 3:45 PM R2 4:15 PM R3 4:50 PM R4 5:25 PM R5 6:00 PM R6 6:35 PM R7 7:10 PM R8 7:45 PM

Race 1

3:45 PM
1600m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st STRIKE FIRST
2nd SACRE BLEU
3rd AUTUMN DIAMONDS 💡 Saver
4th TENNESSEE LINK
❌ Unplaced — LA DIVINA didn't feature
✅ Saver placed — AUTUMN DIAMONDS ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
7
LA DIVINA P $1.28
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
3
AUTUMN DIAMONDS W $5.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
7. LA DIVINA FAV TOP RATED 2 $2.80 $1.28 $3.61
8. PASIFAE 5 $4.20 $1.38 $5.22
2. STRIKE FIRST 6 $3.80 $1.34 $5.53
3. AUTUMN DIAMONDS 3 $5.50 $1.65 $6.02
1. SACRE BLEU 9 $16.00 $3.20 $15.25
9. TENNESSEE LINK 1 $18.00 $3.60 $16.01
4. DOWNTHERABBITHOLE (NZ) 8 $51.00 $5.75 $35.20
6. PRINCESS VONLOZZI 4 $151.00 $13.00 $66.49
5. IVE GOT THE POWER 7 $151.00 $13.00 $76.71
Favourite record at CRANBOURNE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.80) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 52% 86% 29*
2.00–2.49 26% 71% 31*
2.50–3.49 this race 43% 72% 47*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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