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CRANBOURNE

R1 3:45 PM R2 4:15 PM R3 4:50 PM R4 5:25 PM R5 6:00 PM R6 6:35 PM R7 7:10 PM R8 7:45 PM

Race 4

5:25 PM
1400m · 6 runners
🏁 Result
1st WRITTEN STORY
2nd BLUE LIGHT DISCO ⭐ Best Bet
3rd JET THUNDER
4th LOVE ME TOMORROW
〰️ Best Bet placed — BLUE LIGHT DISCO ran a place (win bet missed)
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
BLUE LIGHT DISCO W $1.65
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
5
ROUGH ENUFF P $1.34
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. BLUE LIGHT DISCO FAV TOP RATED 8 $1.65 $1.14 $2.35
5. ROUGH ENUFF 4 $3.60 $1.34 $4.28
7. WRITTEN STORY 3 $5.50 $1.95 $5.77
8. LOVE ME TOMORROW 7 $12.00 $3.30 $8.51
2. JET THUNDER 2 $81.00 $9.00 $34.19
6. GOTTALUVSPORT 1 $126.00 $17.00 $45.82
Favourite record at CRANBOURNE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.65) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 52% 86% 29*
2.00–2.49 26% 71% 31*
2.50–3.49 43% 72% 47*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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