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CRANBOURNE

R1 3:45 PM R2 4:15 PM R3 4:50 PM R4 5:25 PM R5 6:00 PM R6 6:35 PM R7 7:10 PM R8 7:45 PM

Race 7

7:10 PM

1200m · 7 runners

🏁 Result

1st BILLUND

2nd HOTSPUR REALE ⭐ Best Bet

3rd ELECTRIC STAR

4th LIL ORLOV 💡 Saver

〰️ Best Bet placed — HOTSPUR REALE ran a place (win bet missed)

Dominant favourite Lean

Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.

HOTSPUR REALE W $1.85

win ⭐ Best Bet

Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.

LIL ORLOV P $2.10

Saver · place

Saver if the favourite is rolled.

Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.

Full field & ratings ›

Runner	Barrier	Win	Place	Our rate
5. HOTSPUR REALE FAV TOP RATED	9	$1.85	$1.28	$2.81
1. LIL ORLOV	5	$5.00	$2.10	$5.11
7. ELECTRIC STAR	6	$6.50	$2.45	$6.34
6. BILLUND	4	$7.00	$2.60	$7.26
2. SUPIDO'S CHOICE	7	$18.00	$5.00	$16.67
10. DOMINANT MISS	10	$31.00	$6.50	$21.52
8. MUST BE SAIN	1	$20.00	$5.25	$21.78

Favourite record at CRANBOURNE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.85) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav price	Win	Place	Races
1.50–1.99 this race	52%	86%	29*
2.00–2.49	26%	71%	31*
2.50–3.49	43%	72%	47*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice. *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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