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CAULFIELD

R1 11:10 AM R2 11:40 AM R3 12:15 PM R4 12:50 PM R5 1:25 PM R6 2:00 PM R7 2:35 PM R8 3:15 PM R9 3:55 PM R10 4:35 PM

Race 1

11:10 AM
1800m · 10 runners
🏁 Result
1st MUKHTALIF (IRE) 📍 Place Pick
2nd FIGLIO D'ARGENTO
3rd MERCHANT FLYER
4th CURSE IT 💡 Saver
✅ Place bet — won outright — MUKHTALIF (IRE) finished 1st
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
4
MUKHTALIF (IRE) P $1.75
place only
Open race with no standout. Our model's top pick for a place bet.
3
CURSE IT W $7.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
4. MUKHTALIF (IRE) FAV TOP RATED 11 $4.60 $1.75 $6.04
6. FIGLIO D'ARGENTO 10 $5.50 $2.00 $6.99
10. ENGINE OF WAR (NZ) 4 $5.50 $2.00 $8.13
3. CURSE IT 2 $7.50 $2.30 $8.23
11. HALLOWED HALLS (NZ) 1 $8.00 $2.35 $8.46
7. MERCHANT FLYER 8 $12.00 $3.40 $11.58
5. OVERACTIVE (GB) 5 $10.00 $2.90 $11.66
9. SEAFALL 6 $14.00 $3.60 $13.58
2. TAKA SPEED (NZ) 9 $13.00 $3.50 $14.13
1. ARGENTUM (GER) 7 $151.00 $18.00 $82.84
Favourite record at CAULFIELD ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($4.60) sits in the 3.50–4.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 43% 71% 21*
2.50–3.49 28% 75% 36*
3.50–4.99 this race 36% 69% 36*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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