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CAULFIELD

R1 11:10 AM R2 11:40 AM R3 12:15 PM R4 12:50 PM R5 1:25 PM R6 2:00 PM R7 2:35 PM R8 3:15 PM R9 3:55 PM R10 4:35 PM

Race 3

12:15 PM
1400m · 6 runners
🏁 Result
1st RUSSIAN METEOR
2nd ALERO 💡 Saver
3rd SO RISQUE (NZ)
4th DUBAI WATCH
❌ Unplaced — THEBELMONTGANGSTER (IRE) didn't feature
✅ Saver placed — ALERO ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
6
THEBELMONTGANGSTER (IRE) W $1.75
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
4
ALERO P $1.50
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
10
RUSSIAN METEOR W $10.00
Form view · saver 25.8% above market on form
Form model rates this runner above its market price. Track+distance: 66.7% (3 starts) · Recent form: 0531
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
6. THEBELMONTGANGSTER (IRE) FAV TOP RATED 9 $1.75 $1.24 $2.82
4. ALERO 2 $3.30 $1.50 $3.77
10. RUSSIAN METEOR 1 $10.00 $3.60 $7.67
3. HOT DIGITY BOOM 3 $7.50 $2.80 $7.79
1. SO RISQUE (NZ) 5 $19.00 $5.50 $13.26
7. DUBAI WATCH 4 $41.00 $8.00 $21.99
Favourite record at CAULFIELD ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 43% 71% 21*
2.50–3.49 28% 75% 36*
3.50–4.99 36% 69% 36*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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