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MORNINGTON

R1 1:10 PM R2 1:45 PM R3 2:20 PM R4 2:55 PM R5 3:35 PM R6 4:15 PM R7 4:55 PM R8 5:35 PM

Race 2

1:45 PM
1500m · 6 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Mornington Racecourse ›
🏁 Result
1st POL ROGEUR ⭐ Best Bet
2nd OBON
3rd EASY RED 💡 Saver
4th THE GRUMP
✅ Best Bet won — POL ROGEUR finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — EASY RED ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
5
POL ROGEUR W $1.75
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
2
EASY RED P $1.45
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
5. POL ROGEUR FAV TOP RATED 2 $1.75 $1.22 $2.42
2. EASY RED 6 $3.80 $1.45 $4.65
7. THE GRUMP 7 $8.00 $2.60 $7.19
4. OBON 4 $9.00 $2.90 $7.96
3. GLOWSHIFT 3 $13.00 $3.70 $12.64
10. WOOLF'S PRIZE 10 $71.00 $11.00 $35.34
Favourite record at MORNINGTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.50–3.49 29% 83% 24*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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